Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.646543 0.739476 0.840179 0.957298 1.089650 1.234467 1.404818
2025-02-09 0.495659 0.619674 0.765398 0.948803 1.172982 1.437573 1.773018
2025-02-16 0.386797 0.525236 0.700536 0.937696 1.248939 1.642123 2.174953
2025-02-23 0.309012 0.453292 0.649131 0.932318 1.328898 1.861681 2.628265
2025-03-02 0.251005 0.395799 0.605464 0.927887 1.407095 2.087934 3.122020
2025-03-09 0.211292 0.356326 0.579280 0.942066 1.511313 2.362078 3.718703
2025-03-16 0.175219 0.315025 0.542479 0.932820 1.577180 2.586602 4.270292
2025-03-23 0.152327 0.290570 0.527530 0.954481 1.692544 2.898981 4.994361
2025-03-30 0.128538 0.259732 0.496270 0.942933 1.749933 3.123558 5.602560
2025-04-06 0.112918 0.240747 0.482280 0.958544 1.854592 3.437185 6.394546
2025-04-13 0.095123 0.213965 0.449227 0.933407 1.881367 3.617280 6.973165
2025-04-20 0.086379 0.203912 0.446529 0.965313 2.017659 4.007403 7.970923
2025-04-27 0.079672 0.197178 0.449832 1.010497 2.187368 4.482080 9.186102
2025-05-04 0.070619 0.183402 0.436158 1.018503 2.283716 4.827983 10.195264
2025-05-11 0.062191 0.169383 0.419594 1.017646 2.361321 5.145479 11.183929
2025-05-18 0.055106 0.157196 0.405096 1.019007 2.443511 5.480936 12.245241
2025-05-25 0.048905 0.145977 0.390943 1.018844 2.521964 5.816728 13.342920
2025-06-01 0.044504 0.138662 0.385063 1.037402 2.645247 6.261410 14.719112
2025-06-08 0.039369 0.128180 0.369366 1.029260 2.704516 6.571453 15.833256
2025-06-15 0.036311 0.123096 0.366916 1.054335 2.846960 7.083288 17.449968
2025-06-22 0.032155 0.113753 0.351323 1.042498 2.896111 7.384999 18.616972
2025-06-29 0.029544 0.108716 0.346919 1.060211 3.022766 7.882617 20.291446
2025-07-06 0.025793 0.099056 0.327448 1.032924 3.028060 8.087802 21.289048